Moving from reaction to action: anticipating vulnerability hotspots in the Sahel

This report compiles short-, medium- and long-term predictive analysis based on a range of data sources and methodologies developed from the perspective of different scientific disciplines and organizations. Taken together, they help to identify hotspots of interconnected risks across the Sahel region. The report includes promising practices and findings relating to the use of innovative data, predictive analytics and strategic foresight for the Sahel. The report brings together established modelling approaches across 17 areas and specifically adjusted models to the UNISS Sahel countries on projecting future violence, food security and internal climate migration. It explores possible scenarios for the future of the Sahel and can guide future predictive analytic endeavours from a methodological perspective.